How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Glentoran, at 66.2%. The other outcomes represent 33.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.3% · Draw: 16.6% · Away win: 66.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Portadown 1624; Glentoran 1845. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premiership · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 18:45
Portadown
Elo 1624
0
-
0
Glentoran
Elo 1845
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-221
Elo rating comparison
Portadown1624
Glentoran1845
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Portadown
—Draws
—Glentoran
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
WRONG
Home
17%
Draw
17%
Away
66%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
38%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.