How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shamrock Rovers, at 58.1%. The other outcomes represent 41.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.1% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 16.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shamrock Rovers 1888; Drogheda United 1708. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier Division · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 19:00
Shamrock Rovers
Elo 1888
3
-
1
Drogheda United
Elo 1708
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+180
H2H (7)
2H
5D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Shamrock Rovers1888
Drogheda United1708
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Shamrock Rovers
5Draws
0Drogheda United
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
58%
@ 1.40
Draw
25%
@ 4.25
Away
17%
@ 7.15
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.92
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.08
No
25%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
@ 1.90
Draw
33%
@ 2.35
Away
13%
@ 6.61
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.32
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.21
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.72
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.