How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is West Ham, at 70.9%. The other outcomes represent 29.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.9% · Draw: 16.7% · Away win: 12.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: West Ham 2014; QPR 1823. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 19:00
West Ham
Elo 2014
1
-
1
QPR
Elo 1823
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+191
Elo rating comparison
West Ham2014
QPR1823
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—West Ham
—Draws
—QPR
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
WRONG
Home
71%
@ 1.47
Draw
17%
@ 4.50
Away
12%
@ 5.98
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.62
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
@ 1.11
No
3%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
@ 1.90
Draw
28%
@ 2.57
Away
14%
@ 5.54
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.23
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 2.18
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
@ 1.14
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
@ 1.49
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 2.27
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.