How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Platense FC, at 57.1%. The other outcomes represent 42.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.1% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 20.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Platense FC 1486; Juticalpa 1383. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Nacional · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 21:00
Platense FC
Elo 1486
2
-
1
Juticalpa
Elo 1383
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
+103
H2H (4)
2H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Platense FC1486
Juticalpa1383
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Platense FC
2Draws
0Juticalpa
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
22%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
36%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.