How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Leon, at 46.7%. The other outcomes represent 53.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.4% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 46.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Puebla 1498; Leon 1675. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga MX · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 01:00
Puebla
Elo 1498
vs
Leon
Elo 1675
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-177
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Puebla1498
Leon1675
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Puebla
0Draws
2Leon
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
24%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
39%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.