How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Wellington Phoenix II, at 34.9%. The other outcomes represent 65.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.9% · Draw: 34% · Away win: 31.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Wellington Phoenix II 1621; Birkenhead United 1713. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League - National · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 01:30
Wellington Phoenix II
Elo 1621
vs
Birkenhead United
Elo 1713
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-92
Elo rating comparison
Wellington Phoenix II1621
Birkenhead United1713
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Wellington Phoenix II
—Draws
—Birkenhead United
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
35% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
34%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
40%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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