How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CS Cartagines, at 41.2%. The other outcomes represent 58.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.9% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 41.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sporting San Jose 1682; CS Cartagines 1786. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 02:00
Sporting San Jose
Elo 1682
vs
CS Cartagines
Elo 1786
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-105
H2H (6)
1H
0D
5A
Elo rating comparison
Sporting San Jose1682
CS Cartagines1786
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Sporting San Jose
0Draws
5CS Cartagines
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
24%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
42%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.