How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Thespakusatsu Gunma, at 51.3%. The other outcomes represent 48.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.3% · Draw: 23.2% · Away win: 25.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1391; FC Ryukyu 1371. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J3 League · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 05:00
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Elo 1391
vs
FC Ryukyu
Elo 1371
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+20
Elo rating comparison
Thespakusatsu Gunma1391
FC Ryukyu1371
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Thespakusatsu Gunma
—Draws
—FC Ryukyu
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
34% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
34%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.