How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cerezo Osaka, at 50.2%. The other outcomes represent 49.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.2% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 27.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cerezo Osaka 1837; Yokohama F. Marinos 1823. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J1 League · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 05:00
Cerezo Osaka
Elo 1837
vs
Yokohama F. Marinos
Elo 1823
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+14
Elo rating comparison
Cerezo Osaka1837
Yokohama F. Marinos1823
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cerezo Osaka
—Draws
—Yokohama F. Marinos
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
23%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
40%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.