How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tokushima Vortis, at 57.0%. The other outcomes represent 43.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57% · Draw: 19.8% · Away win: 23.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tokushima Vortis 1609; Imabari 1472. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J2 League · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 05:00
Tokushima Vortis
Elo 1609
vs
Imabari
Elo 1472
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+137
H2H (4)
0H
2D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Tokushima Vortis1609
Imabari1472
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Tokushima Vortis
2Draws
2Imabari
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
39%
Draw
44%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.