How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fagiano Okayama, at 43.4%. The other outcomes represent 56.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.2% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 43.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Avispa Fukuoka 1659; Fagiano Okayama 1771. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J1 League · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 06:00
Avispa Fukuoka
Elo 1659
vs
Fagiano Okayama
Elo 1771
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-111
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Avispa Fukuoka1659
Fagiano Okayama1771
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Avispa Fukuoka
0Draws
2Fagiano Okayama
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
23%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
37%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.