How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cetatea, at 72.3%. The other outcomes represent 27.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.3% · Draw: 17.2% · Away win: 10.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cetatea 1735; Dumbrăviţa 1578. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga II · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 08:00
Cetatea
Elo 1735
vs
Dumbrăviţa
Elo 1578
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+157
Elo rating comparison
Cetatea1735
Dumbrăviţa1578
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cetatea
—Draws
—Dumbrăviţa
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
Home
72%
Draw
17%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
Home
57%
Draw
30%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.