How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Metalul Buzău, at 54.8%. The other outcomes represent 45.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.8% · Draw: 23% · Away win: 22.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Metalul Buzău 1837; ASA Targu Mures 1646. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga II · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 08:00
Metalul Buzău
Elo 1837
vs
ASA Targu Mures
Elo 1646
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+191
H2H (2)
1H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Metalul Buzău1837
ASA Targu Mures1646
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Metalul Buzău
0Draws
1ASA Targu Mures
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
23%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
38%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.