How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Golden Arrows U23, at 55.2%. The other outcomes represent 44.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.2% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 23.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Golden Arrows U23 1471; Chippa United U23 1243. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Diski Challenge · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 08:00
Golden Arrows U23
Elo 1471
vs
Chippa United U23
Elo 1243
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+229
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Golden Arrows U231471
Chippa United U231243
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Golden Arrows U23
0Draws
2Chippa United U23
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
Home
55%
Draw
22%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
31%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.