How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Orlando Pirates U23, at 56.2%. The other outcomes represent 43.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.2% · Draw: 17.7% · Away win: 56.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Siwelele U23 1572; Orlando Pirates U23 1769. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Diski Challenge · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 08:00
Siwelele U23
Elo 1572
vs
Orlando Pirates U23
Elo 1769
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-197
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Siwelele U231572
Orlando Pirates U231769
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Siwelele U23
0Draws
3Orlando Pirates U23
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
18%
Away
56%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
35%
Away
45%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.