How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Arema FC, at 45.6%. The other outcomes represent 54.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.6% · Draw: 22.5% · Away win: 31.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Arema FC 1673; Bhayangkara FC 1687. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 1 · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 08:30
Arema FC
Elo 1673
vs
Bhayangkara FC
Elo 1687
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-14
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Arema FC1673
Bhayangkara FC1687
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Arema FC
0Draws
2Bhayangkara FC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
35%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.