How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ayeyawady United, at 41.1%. The other outcomes represent 58.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.1% · Draw: 20.6% · Away win: 38.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ayeyawady United 1504; Thitsar Arman 1514. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 09:00
Ayeyawady United
Elo 1504
vs
Thitsar Arman
Elo 1514
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-10
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ayeyawady United1504
Thitsar Arman1514
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ayeyawady United
2Draws
0Thitsar Arman
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
39%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.