How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Daejeon Korail, at 46.9%. The other outcomes represent 53.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.9% · Draw: 26.4% · Away win: 26.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Daejeon Korail 1657; Dangjin Citizen 1517. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
K3 League · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 10:00
Daejeon Korail
Elo 1657
vs
Dangjin Citizen
Elo 1517
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+140
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Daejeon Korail1657
Dangjin Citizen1517
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Daejeon Korail
0Draws
0Dangjin Citizen
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
42%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.