How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Metta / LU, at 59.9%. The other outcomes represent 40.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.9% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 22.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Metta / LU 1825; Riga Mariners 1765. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Liga · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 10:00
Metta / LU
Elo 1825
vs
Riga Mariners
Elo 1765
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+60
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Metta / LU1825
Riga Mariners1765
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Metta / LU
2Draws
0Riga Mariners
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
Home
60%
Draw
18%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
33%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.