How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Machida Zelvia, at 63.0%. The other outcomes represent 37.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.3% · Draw: 15.7% · Away win: 63%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kyoto Sanga 1704; Machida Zelvia 1928. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J1 League · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 10:00
Kyoto Sanga
Elo 1704
vs
Machida Zelvia
Elo 1928
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-224
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Kyoto Sanga1704
Machida Zelvia1928
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Kyoto Sanga
4Draws
0Machida Zelvia
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
16%
Away
63%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
40%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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