How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Jarosław, at 42.3%. The other outcomes represent 57.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.4% · Draw: 20.3% · Away win: 42.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Wisła Kraków II 1532; Jarosław 1544. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 10:00
Wisła Kraków II
Elo 1532
2
-
1
Jarosław
Elo 1544
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-12
Elo rating comparison
Wisła Kraków II1532
Jarosław1544
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Wisła Kraków II
—Draws
—Jarosław
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
20%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
35%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.