How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rot-Weiß Essen, at 46.4%. The other outcomes represent 53.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.4% · Draw: 26.3% · Away win: 46.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Preußen Münster 1776; Rot-Weiß Essen 1867. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Liga · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:00
Preußen Münster
Elo 1776
3
-
3
Rot-Weiß Essen
Elo 1867
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-91
Elo rating comparison
Preußen Münster1776
Rot-Weiß Essen1867
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Preußen Münster
—Draws
—Rot-Weiß Essen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
@ 3.60
Draw
26%
@ 3.77
Away
46%
@ 1.83
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.46
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.87
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.26
No
32%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 3.88
Draw
34%
@ 2.36
Away
38%
@ 2.33
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.26
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
@ 1.16
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.52
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.