How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, at 60.3%. The other outcomes represent 39.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.3% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 19.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1580; Tzeirey Tamra 1409. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 16:30
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Elo 1580
1
-
0
Tzeirey Tamra
Elo 1409
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+171
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1580
Tzeirey Tamra1409
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0Draws
0Tzeirey Tamra
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
40%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.