How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Bnei Musmus, at 48.6%. The other outcomes represent 51.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.5% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 48.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1346; Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1537. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Elo 1346
0
-
0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Elo 1537
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-191
Elo rating comparison
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed1346
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1537
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
—Draws
—Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
25%
Away
49%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
40%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.