How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Hadera, at 45.0%. The other outcomes represent 55.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 30%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Hadera 1532; Maccabi Yavne 1647. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 10:30
Hapoel Hadera
Elo 1532
0
-
0
Maccabi Yavne
Elo 1647
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-115
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Hadera1532
Maccabi Yavne1647
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hapoel Hadera
—Draws
—Maccabi Yavne
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
41%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.