How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Holon Yermiyahu, at 56.3%. The other outcomes represent 43.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.3% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 24%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Holon Yermiyahu 1507; Nordia Jerusalem 1409. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 16:40
Holon Yermiyahu
Elo 1507
5
-
0
Nordia Jerusalem
Elo 1409
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+98
Elo rating comparison
Holon Yermiyahu1507
Nordia Jerusalem1409
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Holon Yermiyahu
—Draws
—Nordia Jerusalem
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
Draw
20%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
34%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.