How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ironi Beit Shemesh, at 42.4%. The other outcomes represent 57.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.4% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 35.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ironi Beit Shemesh 1470; Tzeirey Tira 1480. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 10:00
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Elo 1470
3
-
1
Tzeirey Tira
Elo 1480
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-10
Elo rating comparison
Ironi Beit Shemesh1470
Tzeirey Tira1480
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ironi Beit Shemesh
—Draws
—Tzeirey Tira
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
22%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
35%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.