How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tunari, at 56.3%. The other outcomes represent 43.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.9% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 56.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Progresul Draganesti 1493; Tunari 1692. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 3 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:00
Progresul Draganesti
Elo 1493
2
-
2
Tunari
Elo 1692
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-199
Elo rating comparison
Progresul Draganesti1493
Tunari1692
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Progresul Draganesti
—Draws
—Tunari
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
21%
Away
56%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
37%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.