How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shakhtar Donetsk, at 66.0%. The other outcomes represent 34.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.7% · Draw: 16.3% · Away win: 66%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Veres Rivne 1719; Shakhtar Donetsk 2095. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 12:30
Veres Rivne
Elo 1719
0
-
3
Shakhtar Donetsk
Elo 2095
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-376
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Veres Rivne1719
Shakhtar Donetsk2095
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Veres Rivne
0Draws
2Shakhtar Donetsk
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
16%
Away
66%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
34%
Away
47%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.