How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fratria, at 37.5%. The other outcomes represent 62.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.1% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 37.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1706; Fratria 1813. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 17:00
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Elo 1706
2
-
0
Fratria
Elo 1813
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Elo Advantage
-107
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Etar Veliko Tarnovo1706
Fratria1813
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1Draws
0Fratria
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
38%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.