How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Velež, at 45.6%. The other outcomes represent 54.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.6% · Draw: 29.7% · Away win: 24.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Velež 1784; Siroki Brijeg 1706. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premijer Liga · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 16:00
Velež
Elo 1784
0
-
0
Siroki Brijeg
Elo 1706
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+79
H2H (6)
4H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Velež1784
Siroki Brijeg1706
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Velež
0Draws
2Siroki Brijeg
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
30%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
37%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.