How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Inter Allies, at 52.5%. The other outcomes represent 47.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.5% · Draw: 27.7% · Away win: 19.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Inter Allies 1507; Okwawu 1491. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division One League · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 15:00
Inter Allies
Elo 1507
1
-
1
Okwawu
Elo 1491
FT
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+17
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Inter Allies1507
Okwawu1491
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Inter Allies
0Draws
0Okwawu
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
28%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
42%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.