How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Boavista U20, at 42.7%. The other outcomes represent 57.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.7% · Draw: 25.5% · Away win: 31.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Boavista U20 1454; Bangu U20 1500. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Carioca U20 · Friday, Oct 9 2026
· 13:00
Boavista U20
Elo 1454
1
-
4
Bangu U20
Elo 1500
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-46
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Boavista U201454
Bangu U201500
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Boavista U20
0Draws
2Bangu U20
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
44%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.