How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tlaxcala, at 37.9%. The other outcomes represent 62.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.9% · Draw: 27.5% · Away win: 34.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tlaxcala 1433; Piratas 1542. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, Oct 10 2026
· 22:00
Tlaxcala
Elo 1433
vs
Piratas
Elo 1542
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-109
Elo rating comparison
Tlaxcala1433
Piratas1542
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tlaxcala
—Draws
—Piratas
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
28%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
42%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.