How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is River Ebro, at 42.1%. The other outcomes represent 57.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.1% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 34.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: River Ebro 1325; Pradejón 1377. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 18:00
River Ebro
Elo 1325
1
-
2
Pradejón
Elo 1377
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-52
Elo rating comparison
River Ebro1325
Pradejón1377
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—River Ebro
—Draws
—Pradejón
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
31%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.