How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Bedford, at 60.3%. The other outcomes represent 39.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.6% · Draw: 18.2% · Away win: 60.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bishop's Stortford 1458; Real Bedford 1777. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern Central · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Bishop's Stortford
Elo 1458
3
-
1
Real Bedford
Elo 1777
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-320
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Bishop's Stortford1458
Real Bedford1777
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Bishop's Stortford
0Draws
2Real Bedford
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
18%
Away
60%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
36%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.