How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is 1º de Agosto, at 47.6%. The other outcomes represent 52.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.6% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 24.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: 1º de Agosto 1797; Wiliete 1787. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Girabola · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 14:30
1º de Agosto
Elo 1797
vs
Wiliete
Elo 1787
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+11
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
1º de Agosto1797
Wiliete1787
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
01º de Agosto
2Draws
0Wiliete
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
28%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
42%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.