How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chelmsford City, at 39.7%. The other outcomes represent 60.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.7% · Draw: 25.9% · Away win: 34.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chelmsford City 1738; Farnham Town 1751. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League - South · Monday, Nov 2 2026
· 19:45
Chelmsford City
Elo 1738
vs
Farnham Town
Elo 1751
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-14
Elo rating comparison
Chelmsford City1738
Farnham Town1751
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Chelmsford City
—Draws
—Farnham Town
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
26%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
42%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.