How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is MC Oran, at 48.7%. The other outcomes represent 51.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.7% · Draw: 27.7% · Away win: 23.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: MC Oran 1824; Oued Akbou 1779. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Friday, Oct 30 2026
· 19:00
MC Oran
Elo 1824
vs
Oued Akbou
Elo 1779
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+44
Elo rating comparison
MC Oran1824
Oued Akbou1779
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—MC Oran
—Draws
—Oued Akbou
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
28%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
46%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.