How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stade Tunisien, at 60.6%. The other outcomes represent 39.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.6% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 14.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stade Tunisien 1784; ES Zarzis 1702. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Thursday, Oct 29 2026
· 13:30
Stade Tunisien
Elo 1784
1
-
0
ES Zarzis
Elo 1702
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+82
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Stade Tunisien1784
ES Zarzis1702
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Stade Tunisien
2Draws
0ES Zarzis
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
Draw
25%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
49%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.