How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Buñol, at 42.3%. The other outcomes represent 57.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.3% · Draw: 24.2% · Away win: 33.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Buñol 1485; Hércules II 1465. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 19:00
Buñol
Elo 1485
vs
Hércules II
Elo 1465
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+20
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Buñol1485
Hércules II1465
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Buñol
0Draws
2Hércules II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
39%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.