How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gloucester City, at 48.2%. The other outcomes represent 51.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.4% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 48.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mulbarton Wanderers 1497; Gloucester City 1677. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FA Cup · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Mulbarton Wanderers
Elo 1497
1
-
2
Gloucester City
Elo 1677
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-180
Elo rating comparison
Mulbarton Wanderers1497
Gloucester City1677
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Mulbarton Wanderers
—Draws
—Gloucester City
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
22%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
38%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.