How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Halesowen Town, at 58.4%. The other outcomes represent 41.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.1% · Draw: 17.5% · Away win: 58.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stafford Rangers 1498; Halesowen Town 1661. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FA Cup · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Stafford Rangers
Elo 1498
1
-
1
Halesowen Town
Elo 1661
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-163
Elo rating comparison
Stafford Rangers1498
Halesowen Town1661
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Stafford Rangers
—Draws
—Halesowen Town
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
35%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.