How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tonbridge Angels, at 46.3%. The other outcomes represent 53.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.3% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 28%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tonbridge Angels 1664; Torquay 1744. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FA Cup · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Tonbridge Angels
Elo 1664
0
-
1
Torquay
Elo 1744
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-80
H2H (6)
0H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Tonbridge Angels1664
Torquay1744
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Tonbridge Angels
0Draws
6Torquay
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
26%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
40%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.