How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cruzeiro U20, at 50.2%. The other outcomes represent 49.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.2% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 25.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cruzeiro U20 1720; Athletic Club MG U20 1701. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Mineiro U20 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:00
Cruzeiro U20
Elo 1720
3
-
0
Athletic Club MG U20
Elo 1701
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+19
H2H (10)
2H
4D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Cruzeiro U201720
Athletic Club MG U201701
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Cruzeiro U20
4Draws
4Athletic Club MG U20
10 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
43%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.