How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Yacoub El Mansour, at 36.5%. The other outcomes represent 63.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.6% · Draw: 32.8% · Away win: 36.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: KAC Kenitra 1442; Yacoub El Mansour 1601. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Botola 2 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 16:00
KAC Kenitra
Elo 1442
0
-
1
Yacoub El Mansour
Elo 1601
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-160
Elo rating comparison
KAC Kenitra1442
Yacoub El Mansour1601
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—KAC Kenitra
—Draws
—Yacoub El Mansour
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
33%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
46%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.