How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gimnasia Chivilcoy, at 40.3%. The other outcomes represent 59.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.3% · Draw: 34% · Away win: 25.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1578; Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1619. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Torneo Federal A · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 20:00
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Elo 1578
1
-
2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Elo 1619
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-41
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1578
Olimpo Bahia Blanca1619
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0Draws
4Olimpo Bahia Blanca
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
34%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
54%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
HT Over 0.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
HT Over 1.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Over 1.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 3.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.