How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cipolletti, at 44.7%. The other outcomes represent 55.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.7% · Draw: 31.5% · Away win: 23.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cipolletti 1568; Sol de América 1559. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Torneo Federal A · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:00
Cipolletti
Elo 1568
6
-
1
Sol de América
Elo 1559
FT
HT 4-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+10
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Cipolletti1568
Sol de América1559
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Cipolletti
0Draws
4Sol de América
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
32%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
46%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Over 1.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.