How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Uxbridge, at 62.4%. The other outcomes represent 37.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.4% · Draw: 17.7% · Away win: 19.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Uxbridge 1693; Hungerford Town 1463. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FA Cup · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Uxbridge
Elo 1693
3
-
1
Hungerford Town
Elo 1463
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+230
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Uxbridge1693
Hungerford Town1463
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Uxbridge
0Draws
0Hungerford Town
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
62%
Draw
18%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
37%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.