How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Boston River, at 35.5%. The other outcomes represent 64.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.5% · Draw: 32.9% · Away win: 31.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Boston River 1602; Juventud 1642. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 16:00
Boston River
Elo 1602
0
-
0
Juventud
Elo 1642
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-40
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Boston River1602
Juventud1642
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Boston River
0Draws
0Juventud
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
@ 2.68
Draw
33%
@ 3.24
Away
32%
@ 2.45
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.75
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.49
No
40%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.41
No
32%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
@ 3.36
Draw
54%
@ 2.10
Away
23%
@ 3.11
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
@ 1.40
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.31
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.